中央环保约谈的示范效应与竞争效应——基于工业二氧化硫排放的实证分析

中央环保约谈的示范效应与竞争效应——基于工业二氧化硫排放的实证分析

The Demonstration and Competition Effects of Central Environmental Interviews: An Empirical Analysis Based on Industrial SO2 Emissions

《财经研究》2023年49卷第9期 页码：154 - 168 online：2023年9月3日

作者

中：高新宇1 , 王凡凡2 , 宋马林3

英：Gao Xinyu1, Wang Fanfan2, Song Malin3

作者单位：1. 安徽财经大学 财政与公共管理学院, 安徽 蚌埠 233030; 2. 海南大学 公共管理学院, 海南 海口 570228; 3. 安徽财经大学 统计与应用数学学院, 安徽 蚌埠 233030

摘要及关键词

摘要：作为一种环境治理的新工具，中央环保约谈制度建立的初衷在于解决属地化环境管理体制下政策执行低效而导致的治理失灵问题，而中央环保约谈的震慑效应及其持续性有待进一步检验。文章基于我国2005—2019年283个地级及以上城市的平衡面板数据，利用双重差分法和空间杜宾模型检验了中央环保约谈的震慑效应及其持续性。研究发现：第一，中央环保约谈有效降低了本地工业二氧化硫排放量，具有显著的直接震慑效应；第二，中央环保约谈对空间关联地区的工业二氧化硫排放量产生了负向溢出效应，具有显著的近邻震慑效应；第三，中央环保约谈的直接震慑效应不具有持续性，但近邻震慑效应随时间不断持续和增强；第四，机制分析表明，在风险规避和价值创造的双重作用下，中央环保约谈对空间关联的被约谈城市产生了示范效应和竞争效应。文章聚焦于震慑效应，拓展了环保约谈的研究视角，对环保约谈制度的进一步完善具有实践启示。

关键词：中央环保约谈；环境污染；工业二氧化硫；震慑效应；持续性

Summary: The central environmental interview system was established as a new tool for environmental governance to address the governance failure caused by inefficient policy implementation under the territorialized environmental management system, primarily by standardizing the circumstances, procedures, and subjects for initiating interviews, and gradually shifting responsibility for pollution control and environmental regulation from enterprises to the government. Academic research on central environmental interviews focuses on their own policy effects while ignoring spatial variables. Based on the balanced panel data of 283 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2005 to 2019, this paper examines the demonstration and competition effects of central environmental interviews using the DID model and the spatial Durbin model. The findings show that: (1) Central environmental interviews effectively reduce local industrial SO2 emissions, with a significant direct deterrent effect. (2) Central environmental interviews have a negative spillover effect on industrial SO2 emissions in spatially connected areas, with a significant neighbor deterrent effect, specifically in the form of demonstration and competition effects. (3) The direct deterrent effect of central environmental interviews is not sustainable, but the neighbor deterrent effect continues and increases over time. (4) Under the dual effects of risk aversion and value creation, central environmental interviews have demonstration and competition effects on spatially connected cities being interviewed, but have a limited impact on spatially connected cities not being interviewed. The academic value of this paper is mainly reflected in four aspects: First, it focuses on the central environmental interview system from the perspective of deterrence effect, which effectively expands the research field of institutional innovation and environmental governance, and provides empirical reference for improving the environmental monitoring mechanism. Second, it further explores the impact of central environmental interviews on spatially connected areas from the perspectives of demonstration effect and competition effect through the nested models of DID and spatial Durbin. Third, it analyzes the neighbor deterrent effect of central environmental interviews from the perspectives of risk aversion and value creation, and further examines its mechanism of action, which is conducive to understanding the operation mechanism of the central environmental interviews system.

Key words: central environmental interviews; environmental pollution; industrial SO2; deterrent effect; sustainability effect

其他信息

DOI：10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.20230418.202

收稿日期：2022-10-02

基金项目：国家社会科学基金青年项目（20CSH077）；2022年度安徽高校优秀青年人才支持计划重点项目（gxyZD2022041）；国家自然科学基金重点项目 (71934001)

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